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Analysing the Threat of Daesh Decentralisation Following Raqqa

Dr Jean-Marc Rickli, Global Risk and Resilience Cluster Leader at the GCSP, was asked for comments, in two interviews conducted by Euronews this week, in relation to the emerging security issues arising from the recent decentralisation of Daesh following their fall in Raqqa over a week ago.

In the first interview, which took place on Monday 22nd October, Dr Rickli stresses that the fall of Daesh in Raqqa does not necessarily imply the end of the group; it only indicates the end of the physical caliphate. After losing their de-facto capital, Raqqa, Daesh militants are scattering across the region creating security concerns for neighbouring countries, as well as Western countries.

“The possibility of tracking these people (militants) has become almost beyond what western security services can do,” explained Dr Rickli, “for every militant you need almost 30 security agents to track these people.”

The second interview, held on Thursday 26th October, discusses the recent shift in policy of the United States to permit the use of armed reaper drone in Africa due to the threat emerging from the scattering of militants throughout Asia, Europe, and more specifically Africa.

“The fight [against Daesh] will be more global,” says Dr Rickli, “it means for Western countries they will have to develop and spread their military capabilities according to where these groups are emerging.”

 

>> First Interview

>> Second Interview