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The Consequences of the fall of ISIS in Deer Ezzor

The GCSP’s Global Risk and Resilience Cluster Leader, Dr Jean-Marc Rickli, was recently interviewed by The Independent about the consequences of the fall of ISIS in Deir Ezzor - their last remaining territory in Syria.

The Syrian government forces, with assistance from the Russian military, successfully liberated the Syrian city of Deir Ezzor on Friday, 3rd November 2017, weeks after liberating the city of Raqqa. Experts warn that the recent series of territorial loss of ISIS could result in the group intensifying the number of attacks around the world.

“ISIS has lost this lever of propaganda [the physical caliphate],” said Dr Rickli to The Independent, “hence in order to remain relevant, the organisation has to diversify by staging attacks elsewhere, notably in Europe, Asia, the Middle East and North Africa.”

Despite significant weakening of ISIS in recent months, Dr Rickli maintains that the “ideology” of the group will continue to exist, particularly in the online realm, and “destroying it [the ideology] will be much more difficult and could take longger than what has been done with its territorial control in Syria and Iraq.”

 

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