Strategic Anticipation

Given the fast pace of change and the many uncertainties in the global security environment, a forward-looking approach is an essential component of the decision-making process.

Organisations must be prepared for a variety of possible threats and ready to take advantage of opportunities, both of which may appear in different forms than in the past and which will call for creative responses. There is therefore an increased premium on understanding global trends and emerging security challenges – in view of making more effective decisions today.

The strategic anticipation cluster encourages a forward-looking approach in international security policy amongst its wide group of stakeholders. It does so by focusing on three interrelated aspects:

  • The development of a mindset of strategic anticipation,
  • Examination of complementary techniques (such as leadership and communication) to integrate strategic anticipation in organisational contexts; and,
  • Exposure to a variety of foresight methods.

Through executive education opportunities, customised workshops, policy analysis, and dialogue processes, the GCSP makes strategic anticipation in international security accessible and relevant to the different actors in the international community.

The cluster offers modules on strategic anticipation in existing GCSP courses throughout the year (for example/ Leadership in International Security, Crisis Management) and delivers an annual three-day course on “Strategic Foresight: Tools and Techniques for Planning in Uncertain Times”. Tailor-made workshops on future trends and emerging security challenges are organised in partnership with interested actors, drawing on GCSP’s extensive international network and experience in facilitating conversations on essential security policy topics. Lastly, public events and policy analysis outputs raise awareness of the importance of harnessing insights about the future to encourage better decision-making today.


Ms Emily Munro
Deputy Head, Emerging Security Challenges Programme; Strategic Anticipation Cluster Leader; and Director, New Issues in Security Course