Cooperative Security in the Future European Security Order

Cooperative Security in the Future European Security Order

By Ambassador Thomas Greminger, Executive Director of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP)

Nearly one year into Russia's invasion of Ukraine, its global repercussions have become indisputable as they transcended many dimensions, touching upon multiple aspects of our daily lives. Although the prospects of a conflict settlement at this stage still seem distant, the continued violence, civilian harm and risk of escalation urge us to reflect on how Europe's security and peace can be re-established. In this article, I uncover the critical security policy implications of the war in Ukraine and outline scenarios on how the war might unfold. Further, I offer pathways to restoring a European security order that is not exclusively based on deterrence but would again contain some cooperative elements. Finally, while acknowledging the severely polarized security environment, I argue that dialogue and cooperation remain conceivable and decisive in bringing this war to an end and restoring peace in Europe.

Ambassador Thomas Greminger is the Executive Director of the Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP) since 1 May 2021. Previously, he served as Secretary General of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) from July 2017 until July 2020. During his diplomatic career, Ambassador Greminger served in various and numerous positions within the Federal Department of Foreign Affairs, in Bern and abroad. Ambassador Greminger holds a PhD in history from the University of Zurich and is Lieutenant Colonel GS. He has authored numerous publications on military history, conflict management, peacekeeping, development and human rights.

Disclaimer: This publication was originally published on The Defence Horizon Journal in their special editions section. The views, information and opinions expressed in this publication are the author’s/authors’ own and do not necessarily reflect those of the GCSP or the members of its Foundation Council. The GCSP is not responsible for the accuracy of the information.