Given the fast pace of change and the many uncertainties in the global security environment, a forward-looking approach is an essential component of the decision-making process.
Organisations must be prepared for a variety of possible threats and ready to take advantage of opportunities, both of which may appear in different forms than in the past and which will call for creative responses. There is therefore an increased premium on understanding global trends and emerging security challenges – in view of making more effective decisions today. Long traditions of strategic planning, on the one hand, and future studies, on the other, are being brought together to produce fresh insights on the international security environment. In this context, specific tools and methods can be employed to discern trends and alternative futures.
The strategic foresight cluster within the Emerging Security Challenges Programme encourages a forward-looking approach in international security policy amongst its wide group of stakeholders and equips course participants with specific skills to anticipate the future. Through executive education opportunities, customised workshops, policy analysis, and dialogue processes, the GCSP makes strategic foresight in international security accessible and relevant to the different actors in the international community.
The strategic foresight cluster delivers an annual three-day course on “Strategic Foresight: Tools and Techniques for Planning in Uncertain Times” and offers modules on strategic foresight in existing GCSP courses throughout the year (for example/Leadership in International Security, Crisis Decision-Making, Climate Change: Security Challenges and Solutions). Tailor-made workshops on future trends and emerging security challenges are organised in partnership with interested actors, drawing on GCSP’s extensive international network and experience in facilitating conversations on essential security policy topics. Lastly, public events and policy analysis outputs raise awareness of the importance of harnessing insights about the future to encourage better decision-making today.